Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.192193 0.218842 0.247452 0.280403 0.317259 0.357163 0.403587
2025-12-07 0.154607 0.189784 0.230092 0.279525 0.338336 0.405877 0.489120
2025-12-14 0.128310 0.168159 0.216467 0.278975 0.357314 0.451808 0.573935
2025-12-21 0.109003 0.151513 0.205703 0.279224 0.375648 0.496996 0.660339
2025-12-28 0.095568 0.140095 0.199479 0.283513 0.398228 0.548044 0.756933
2026-01-04 0.085753 0.131963 0.196171 0.290544 0.424061 0.604241 0.863366
2026-01-11 0.076302 0.122941 0.190294 0.292856 0.442841 0.651439 0.960038
2026-01-18 0.069317 0.116549 0.187231 0.298411 0.465965 0.705431 1.068807
2026-01-25 0.063970 0.111927 0.186107 0.306337 0.492599 0.765493 1.189243
2026-02-01 0.057361 0.104432 0.179678 0.305295 0.505246 0.805376 1.281960
2026-02-08 0.051595 0.097609 0.173525 0.303887 0.516794 0.843755 1.373965
2026-02-15 0.046541 0.091381 0.167652 0.302216 0.527435 0.880883 1.465525
2026-02-22 0.043279 0.088108 0.166643 0.308861 0.552540 0.942937 1.600966
2026-03-01 0.039299 0.083036 0.162008 0.308863 0.566531 0.988015 1.711977
2026-03-08 0.035762 0.078368 0.157603 0.308788 0.580203 1.033134 1.825292
2026-03-15 0.032705 0.074263 0.153790 0.309349 0.594826 1.080404 1.944383
2026-03-22 0.030504 0.071619 0.152435 0.314213 0.617220 1.141771 2.089964
2026-03-29 0.028845 0.069904 0.152678 0.322016 0.645286 1.214171 2.257704
2026-04-05 0.026772 0.067035 0.150342 0.324602 0.663788 1.270698 2.400618
2026-04-12 0.025240 0.065180 0.149864 0.330724 0.689178 1.340542 2.569977
2026-04-19 0.024071 0.064012 0.150677 0.339434 0.719939 1.421431 2.762531
2026-04-26 0.022137 0.060798 0.146842 0.338299 0.731433 1.467629 2.894663
2026-05-03 0.020351 0.057716 0.142987 0.336760 0.741910 1.512287 3.025808